gregfeeler
Dances With Sheep
You are asking me the same questions as your first post. I didn't mean to imply that the club membership is in endless decline, but it is much smaller than our peak in 2009 of just a smidge over 40,000. Those days are gone for many reasons and the adjustments which had to be made as the memberships has shrunken to (probably) something under 20K have been difficult. It is always easier to grow a thing than to scale it back. Which does relate to your questions.IYO, at what number of attendees [ the least number needed ] would make it financially untenable to continue the national rally? 3K? 2K? If we keep losing the numbers in attendance, there has to be a number where the board says, can't do it this year.
How far down the rabbit hole, IYO, will the board go on lack of attendance before cancelling nationals? There's got to be a number that flips the switch to not having enough attend to make it viable anywhere.
It's feasible to have a motorcycle rally with two or more people - it's just a matter of expectations. Many successful regional/club rallies only draw 100 to 150 people. The BMW RA has had many of their "national" rallies with between 1,000 and 1,500 people. But - these rallies didn't have the offerings that BMW MOA Rally attendees are used to expecting. They didn't have a BMW demo truck, or hundreds of vendors, or three nights of quality live music (usually two bands on both Friday and Saturday evenings), or give away thousands of dollars in door prizes, or one, two, or three new motorcycles. You get the picture.
To have rallies like what's become the MOA traditional national rally is going to require something in the ballpark of 4,000 people, along with good financial management (expenses, promotion, site costs, etc.). Once you get below 3,000 then I think you would have more difficulty getting good vender participation which is one of the big reasons people come to the rallies. Having said that, I also think that there is something of a natural "bottom" to attendance numbers for our kind of event, and I we've hit that and may be coming back up. I believe that there are enough people riding BMWs - be they MOA members or not - to keep the model viable. A strong MOA will be essential as it takes a bunch of money to bankroll these rallies and wait up to two years for the full payback. BUT - and this is something you and everyone reading this can do to help the MOA - every one of us should bring at least one new person to each rally. These just can't be adequately explained and must be experienced, after which, most people will be back the next chance they can.
To make my point about rally attendance, here's a list of pre and post-COVID attendance numbers. Keep in mind that rallies east of the Mississippi always have higher attendance.
2017 – Salt Lake City, UTAH (fair grounds) -- 4206 (WEST)
2018 – Des Moines, IOWA (fair grounds) -- 4580 (CENTRAL)
2019 – Lebanon, TENNESSEE (exposition center) -- 6018 (EAST)
2020 - Skipped
2021 – Great Falls, MONTANA (expo park) -- 4889 (WEST)
2022 - Springfield, MO -- 4,621 (CENTRAL)
2023 - Doswell, VIRGINIA -- 5,836 (EAST)