A great write up. Thanks for taking the time to do this. I agree most failures are seal failures leading to bearing or final drive gear failure. The biggest problem is it’s just a poor design. Flat face bearings are designed for a parallel or flat load. That’s why most wheels have 2 bearings to spread the load over a large area. Bikes like a BMW and Ducati use a single load bearing. Imagine the considerable lateral loads on these bearings. A conical shaped bearing, like in a headstock would be better but it would be so large the wheel hub would be massive. Just my 2 cents